c/o: http://www.tfw2005.com/boards/members/ikkstakk.85852/
Did someone say...
announcement dates??
Okay,
I think these are correct, based on researching when threads
were started. But I would welcome corrections, additions, revisions,
clarifications... this is very probably incomplete.
2012
March 11-12: MP12 Lambor revealed at Cybertron Con
May 26: Preorders for "MP12A" Alert and MP13 Soundwave
June 12: MP14 Alert preorder at robotkingdom.com and MP13 Condor confirmed
December 29: MP15 Rumble & Jaguar shown in Figure King
2013
January 22: MP12T Tigertrack rumored by Planet Iacon
January 23: MP17 Prowl and "MP18" Smokescreen revealed by BBTS
January 28: "MP19" Streak revealed by BBTS
February 18: MP17 Prowl silhouette
March 6: MP17 Prowl color pictures
May 22: MP12T Tigertrack revealed in Figure King
September 6: MP12G and MP13B revealed by TFSource
November 11: Star Saber officially wins fan vote to become Masterpiece
December 20: Wheeljack silhouette in Figure King
2014
January 9: Wheeljack gray prototype revealed
January 17: Wheeljack alt mode gray prototype on Hasui's Twitter
February 28: Bumblebee silhouette teased on Hasui's twitter
March 20: MP20 Wheeljack color pictures and MP22 Ultra Magnus silhouette in Figure King
March 29: MP21 Bumble gray prototype and Star Saber line art in Dengeki Hobby
July 21: Star Saber gray prototype and MP22 Ultra Magnus color pictures in Figure King
August 9: Star Saber on display at Transformers Expo Yokohama
September 1: MP23 Exhaust revealed on taghobby.com
2015
January 8: MP21G G2 Bumble revealed on Planet Iacon Facebook page
January 17: Taobao auctions reveal Tracks
February 20: MP25 Tracks revealed in Figure King
March 26: MP18B Bluestreak revealed
May 20: Beast Convoy teased at Tokyo Toy Show
July 17: Ironhide pictures at Transformers Expo Taipei
August 21: MP21R Red Bumble revealed in Figure King
September 11: MP14C Clampdown revealed on Twitter
September 24: Hot Rodimus and Laserwave gray prototypes at All Japan Model & Hobby Show
October 22: MP11NR Ramjet revealed on Planet Iacon Facebook page
November 6: MP30 Ratchet revealed on website
December 21: Beast Convoy gray prototype in Figure King
2016
March 3: MP31 Delta Magnus revealed
April 6: MP14+ Alert revealed on Autobase Aichi's Facebook page
April 20: Inferno silhouette with MP14+ on TTMall website
May 6-7: Inferno gray prototype shown and Cheetus teased at TransFes
May 21: Loudpedal revealed in Figure King
June 8-10: Thrust revealed and shown, Cheetus gray prototype shown at Tokyo Toy Show
July 23: Cheetus painted prototype at Wonderfest
July 29: Dirge revealed at AGCHK toy show
September 5: Grapple official pictures on Facebook
September 6-7: Megatron prototype leaked
September 8: Shattered Glass Optimus Prime color pictures
October 21: Megatron painted prototype revealed in Figure King
December 1: MP37 Artfire revealed on Planet Iacon Facebook page
2017
January 10: MP38 Legendary General Convoy revealed by ActionRobo on Facebook
February 18: Dinobot teased by Dengeki Hobby at Wonderfest
May 22: MP39 Sunstreaker revealed in Figure King
May 30: MP12+ Lambor revealed by ToyScope
June 1: MP39 Sunstreaker and MP12+ Lambor on display at Tokyo Toy Show
June 15: "MP15X" rumored by NOTRAB
June 21: MP15-16E silhouette on TTMall website
August 3: Preorder up for MP40 Targetmaster Hot Rodimus at robotkingdom.com
October 24: Teaser picture of Dinobot gray prototype in Figure King
November 12: Dinobot color pictures online
c/o: http://www.tfw2005.com/boards/members/anonymousdwell.111662/
Okay this took forever, but I've incorporated reveal dates into
the list. (Full credit to @Ikkstakk
for the announcement dates, and credit to TFwiki.net for the MP
release dates.)
My main interest in this is the potential
implications/statistics derivable from all this. (See bottom.) Full
list (not counting MPMs, will try to add them later) now reads:
MP-10 September 2011 (New mold)
(six month release gap)
Starscream March 2012 (New mold)
(seven month release gap)
Sideswipe October 2012 (New mold) (Revealed 7 months prior)
(two month release gap)
Red Alert December 2012 (Repaint and Remold) (Revealed 6 months prior)
(one month release gap)
Soundwave January 2013 (New mold) (Revealed 7 months prior)
(cassettes followed in February and March) (Revealed 2-3 months prior)
(Six to 8 months release gap, depending on whether you count the cassettes.)
Prowl September 2013 (New mold) (Revealed 8 months prior)
(one month release gap)
Bluestreak October 2013 (Repaint and remold) (Revealed 9 months prior)
(two month release gap)
Smokescreen December 2013 (Repaint and remold) (Revealed 12 months prior)
(nine month release gap)
Wheeljack September 2014 (New mold) (Rumored/leaked 10 months prior, officially revealed 9 months prior)
(two month release gap)
Bumblebee November 2014 (New mold) (Rumored/leaked 11 months prior, officially revealed 9 months prior)
(one month release gap)
Ultra Magnus December 2014 (New mold) (Rumored/leaked 15 months (!!!) prior, officially revealed 5 months prior. Wow lol.)
(three month release gap)
Exhaust March 2015 (Repaint) (Rumored/leaked 6 months prior)
Star Saber March 2015 (New mold) (Revealed via fan poll 14 months prior, officially revealed 8 months prior)
(eight month release gap)
Tracks November 2015 (New mold) (Rumored/leaked 10 months prior. Officially revealed 9 months prior)
(one month release gap)
Road Rage December 2015 (Repaint) (Revealed 3 months prior)
(one month release gap)
Ironhide January 2016 (New mold) (Revealed 6 months prior)
(one month release gap)
Hot Rod February 2016 (New mold) (Revealed 5 months prior)
(one month release gap)
Shockwave March 2016 (New mold) (Revealed 6 months prior)
Ramjet March 2016 (Extensive remold and repaint) (Revealed 5 months prior)
(one month release gap)
Ratchet April 2016 (Repaint and remold) (Revealed 5 months prior)
(two month release gap)
Loudpedal June 2016 (Repaint) (Revealed 1 month prior)
(two month release gap)
Delta Magnus August 2016 (Repaint) (Revealed 5 months prior)
(one month release gap)
MP-14+ September 2016 (Repaint) (Revealed 5 months prior)
(one month release gap)
Thrust October 2016 (Repaint) (Revealed 4 months prior)
Optimus Primal October 2016 (New mold) (revealed 5 months prior)
(one month release gap)
Inferno Nov 2016 (New mold) (Revealed 7 months prior)
(three month release gap)
Grapple February 2017 (Repaint) (Revealed 5 months prior)
Cheetor February 2017 (New Mold) (Revealed 8 months prior)
(two month release gap)
Megatron April 2017 (New mold) (Leaked/rumored 7 months prior. Officially revealed 6 months prior.)
(one month release gap)
Artfire May 2017 (Repaint) (Revealed 5 months prior)
Dirge May 2017 (Repaint) (Revealed 10 months prior)
(one month release gap)
Legendary Commander Beast Convoy June 2017 (Repaint) (Revealed 5 months prior)
(five month release gap)
MP-12+ (November 2017) (Repaint) (Revealed 6 months prior)
(one month release gap)
Sunstreaker December 2017 (New mold) (Revealed 7 months prior)
Cassette repaints Dec 2017 (Repaint) (Revealed 6 months prior)
(two month release gap)
Hot Rod w/targetmaster Feb 2018 (Repaint and new targetmaster mold) (Revealed 6 months prior)
(five month release gap)
Dinobot July 2018 (New mold) (Leaked/rumored 17 (!!!) months prior. Officially revealed 9 months prior)
Statistics/implications/conclusions:
1)
Release gaps
Average total release gap in months: Approx. 2 & 1/2 months.
Average total release gap between NEW molds: Approx. 4 & 1/2 months
Shortest total release gap in months: 1 mo.
Longest release gap in months: 9 mos.
Shortest release gap between NEW molds: 1 mo.
Longest release gap between NEW molds: 8 mos.
2) Reveal vs release
Average time between official reveal and release (mos): Approx. 6
Average time between earliest RUMOR/LEAK and release (mos): Approx. 11
Shortest time between official reveal and release (mos): 1
Longest time between official reveal and release (mos): 12
Longest time between RUMOR/LEAK and release (mos): 15
Most common time between official reveal and release (mos): 5
Shortest time between official reveal of a NEW MOLD and release (mos): 5
Longest time between official reveal of a NEW MOLD and release (mos): 12
3) New molds
Fewest new molds in a year: 2 (2012, 2013, 2015)
Most new molds in a year: 5, more if you don't count the coneheads as just retools (2016)
Fewest new G1 molds in a year: 2 (2012, 2013, 2015)
Most new G1 molds in a year: 4 (2016)
Did my best. Apologies for any mistakes, and thanks for the
information used! Hope it's helpful for future speculation in some
way. Apologies for any errors.
ETA: Just realized I left off
Red Bumblebee, Gold Megatron, etc. but... eh, close enough. For my
purposes they don't count anyway, as they aren't actually characters,
just color variants. (Same with BAPE, SG, etc.)Which means I should
have left out MP14+ too and Primal's repaint, but... eh... I'm NOT
doing all that math again lol. The implications are close enough to
the reality imo. One or two characters added or removed isn't going
to throw off the averages that much. I'm sleepy now lol.